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Fear over Al-Qaida's Iran links |
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Monday, 27 March 2006 |
Intelligence officials say terrorist leaders safe in Islamic republic in
By Josh Meyer, Los Angeles Times
WASHINGTON -- U.S. intelligence officials, already focused on Iran's potential for building nuclear weapons, are struggling to solve a more immediate mystery: the murky relationship between the new Tehran leadership and the contingent of al-Qaida terror network leaders residing in the country.
Some officials, citing evidence from highly classified satellite feeds
and electronic eavesdropping, believe that the Iranian regime is
hosting much of al-Qaida's remaining brain trust and allowing the
senior operatives freedom to communicate and help plan the terrorist
network's operations.
And they suggest that new President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may be forging
an alliance with al-Qaida operatives as a way to expand Iran's
influence or, at minimum, that he is looking the other way as al-Qaida
leaders in Iran collaborate with their counterparts elsewhere.
"Iran is becoming more and more radicalized and more willing to turn a
blind eye to the al-Qaida presence there," said one U.S.
counterterrorism official.
The accusations from U.S. officials about Iranian nuclear ambitions and
ties to al-Qaida echo charges that administration figures made about
Iraq in the run-up to the U.S. invasion three years ago.
Those charges about Iraq have been largely discredited. And in the case
of Iran, some intelligence officials and analysts are unconvinced. If
anything, they suggest, escalating tensions between Shiites and Sunni
Arabs in Iraq would logically cause Iran's Shiite government to crack
down on al-Qaida, whose Sunni leadership has denounced Shiites as
infidels.
A U.S. intelligence official says he does not see any relaxation in
Iranian restrictions on al-Qaida members. "I'm not getting the sense
that these people are free to roam, free to plot," the intelligence
official said.
But even that official conceded that the relationship between Tehran
and al-Qaida officials within Iran is largely unknown to U.S. and
allied intelligence, especially since Mr. Ahmadinejad's election last
summer.
To some U.S. intelligence officials, what they don't know is the most
worrisome of all. "I don't need to exaggerate the difficulty in
determining what these people are up to at any given moment," said the
official.
The U.S. counterterrorism official was more blunt. "We don't have any
intelligence going on in Iran. No people on the ground," he said. "It
blows me away the lack of intelligence that's out there."
U.S., European and Arab intelligence officials spoke on condition of
anonymity because they are not authorized to discuss such matters
publicly.
Ties between Iran and al-Qaida were highlighted by the Sept. 11
commission, which disclosed a wealth of detail about such connections
in its final report. The commission said Iran and al-Qaida had worked
together sporadically throughout the 1990s, trading secrets, including
how to make explosives.
Iranian representatives to the United Nations did not return repeated
calls seeking comment. Three months ago Iran declared there were no
more al-Qaida members in the country. U.S. officials reject that claim.
In November, the State Department's third-ranking official,
Undersecretary R. Nicholas Burns, said the United States believes "that
some al-Qaida members and those from like-minded extremist groups
continue to use Iran as a safe haven and as a hub to facilitate their
operations."
A year ago, Iranian delegates to a global counterterrorism conference
circulated a document describing Iran as "a major victim of terrorism."
The document blamed links between drug trafficking and terrorism for
"thousands of security problems," especially along Iran's eastern
border with Afghanistan and Pakistan.
Al-Qaida operatives and family members have lived in Iran for years,
many since late 2001 when they fled the U.S. bombing of Afghanistan.
Many other al-Qaida figures fled to Pakistan -- a U.S. ally -- and are
believed to still be there. Iranian government officials have said the
al-Qaida members in their country have been kept under house arrest and
that their activities have been monitored.
In Tehran, analysts said, U.S. officials are misreading Iran's
intentions. The fact that the Iranian government has not turned over
al-Qaida suspects to the United States should be no surprise given the
state of relations between the two countries, said Nasser Hadian, a
political analyst at Tehran University.
Some of the al-Qaida members have been indicted in the United States
for terrorist attacks, including the 1998 bombings of two U.S.
embassies in Africa, but Iran has refused to extradite them.
Among them is Saif al-Adel, believed to be one of the highest-ranking
members of al-Qaida's hierarchy, behind Osama bin Laden and his deputy,
Ayman al-Zawahri. Whatever restrictions might be placed on al-Qaida
activities within Iran, Mr. Adel -- whose capture would carry a $5
million U.S. reward -- was able last year to post a lengthy dispatch
about al-Qaida activities in Iran and Iraq that was widely circulated
on the Internet. U.S. intelligence officials believe the posting was
authentic.
In the dispatch, Mr. Adel said he had used hideouts in Iran to plot
with Abu Musab al-Zarqawi to make Iraq the new battleground in the
group's war against the United States. Iran had detained many of Mr.
Zarqawi's men, Mr. Adel wrote, but they ultimately slipped into Iraq
and began attacking U.S. forces.
For several years, the U.S. counterterrorism official said, satellite
feeds have helped officials monitor some day-to-day activities and
movements of Mr. Adel and other senior al-Qaida operatives in Iran. The
intelligence suggests that the al-Qaida leaders have been monitored by
Iranian authorities but could move and communicate somewhat, the
official said.
U.S. officials also said other senior al-Qaida figures -- including Mr.
Zarqawi, now the group's point man in Iraq -- have transited in and out
of Iran with the possible knowledge or complicity of Iranian officials.
The al-Qaida members in Iran include three of Osama bin Laden's sons,
including two who are considered his heirs apparent -- Saad and Hamza.
Some of bin Laden's wives and other family members are suspected of
being in Iran as well, as well as al-Qaida spokesman Suleiman Abu
Ghaith, U.S. officials say.
Of special concern, the official said, is the number of al-Qaida
operatives in Iran who are of Egyptian descent and loyal to Mr.
Zawahri, the Cairo-born physician who merged his Egyptian Islamic Jihad
with al-Qaida in the years before the Sept. 11 attacks.
Mr. Adel is a former Egyptian police official. In addition, U.S.
officials confirmed intelligence showing three other al-Qaida
operatives with Egyptian roots -- Abdallah Mohamed Rajab al Masri, also
known as Abu Khayer, Abdel Aziz al Masri, and Abu Mohamed al Masri --
are in Iran. Authorities believe them to be, respectively, the head of
al-Qaida's shura, or leadership council; a biological weapons expert
who heads the terror network's effort to develop weapons of mass
destruction; and its top explosives expert and training camp chief.
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